Matthew Gentzel

Escalation risks from state perceptions of AI capability, AI-enabled targeting, AI-enabled decision manipulation, and the impact of AI integration into nuclear command and control.

Stream overview

Projects related to:

  • Preventing or mitigating large-scale nuclear risks
  • AI-related military or nuclear topics: strategic stability & targeting, non-nuclear strategic weapons, country escalation based on perception of impending AGI risks, arms control and de-escalatory AI apps, as well as AI and deception/fog of war.
  • Incentive design for regulatory efforts
  • Information competition, credibility, and how to search for blindspots for X-risk mitigation

Location during program:

Washington, D.C.

Mentors

Matthew Gentzel
Longview Philanthropy
,
Nuclear Weapons Policy Program Officer
Policy and Governance
Forecasting and Strategy
Structural Risk and Societal Dynamics

Matthew Gentzel is a Nuclear Weapons Policy Program Officer at Longview Philanthropy where he works on grantmaking and priorities research related to mitigating AI-enabled strategic threats and the risk of large-scale nuclear war. His prior work spanned emerging technology threat and policy assessment, with a particular focus on how advancements in AI may shape the future of influence operations, nuclear strategy, and cyber attacks. He has worked as a policy researcher with OpenAI, as an analyst in the US Department of Defense’s Innovation Steering Group, and as a director of research and analysis at the US National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence.

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Matt's grantmaking portfolio covers the impact of a variety of emerging technologies on nuclear stability, including AI-enabled targeting and information manipulation. His work aims to reason about non-AI bottlenecks to extreme risk, how perceptions of future AI capability impact escalation control in the near-term, and what physical, cyber, and cognitive security measures can increase societal resilience against nuclear war and AGI-enabled attacks. His portfolio also aims to fund work creating more realistic and positive plans toward great power peace, grounded in regional and technical expertise, organizational psychology, and game-theoretic insight on how to defuse conflict between rationally irrational actors with different values and beliefs.

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Mr. Gentzel holds an MA in strategic studies and international economics from Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, and a BS in fire protection engineering from the University of Maryland College Park.

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Fellows we are looking for

Looking for intellectually curious and honest scholars, with some background on topics related to national security, game theory, or AI-enabled military and influence capabilities.

Project selection

I'll talk through project ideas with scholar, or the scholar can pick from a list of projects