Program
AI Futures Project

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AI Futures Project

We are interested in mentoring projects in AI forecasting and governance. This work would build on the AI 2027 report to either do more scenario forecasting or explore how to positively affect key decision points, informed by our scenario.

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Stream overview

We are interested in mentoring projects in AI forecasting and governance. Potential projects include but aren't limited to:

  1. Scenario forecasting: Writing scenarios that branch off of our mainline AI 2027 scenario, exploring what might happen if important variables are changed. This could include detailed concrete threat modeling or detailed theories of victory.
  2. Improve and run tabletop exercises (TTXs): We've created a TTX that many have found valuable, for which we'd like to expand the range of audiences that enjoy it and scale it to more people.
  3. Policy strategy research e.g. menu for the intelligence explosion: Creating a menu of policy options for soon after AGI is developed.
  4. Targeted policy research: Do research to inform policymakers based on what seems important and in-demand.

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Mentors

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Mentorship style

We will have meetings each week to check in and discuss next steps. We will be consistently available on Slack in between meetings to discuss your research, project TODOs, etc.

Fellows we are looking for

The most important characteristics include:

  1. Strong reasoning and writing abilities
  2. Excitement about AI forecasting/governance research
  3. Autonomous research skills
  4. Ability to learn quickly

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Also important, but not required characteristics include:

  1. Significant background knowledge in at least one area relevant to AI forecasting and governance (e.g. government experience, technical background, etc.)
  2. Significant background knowledge in AGI and existential risks

Can independently find collaboraters, but not required

Project selection

We will talk through project ideas with scholar